Nov 2, 2018

November 1, 2018: Science Can't Save Us, The Visible Hand, Impending Doom



According to a new report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, emissions from fossil fuels must be eliminated by 2050.

We don't have much time.

In an essay entitled Science Isn't Enough To Save Us, Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway, authors of the forthcoming “The Magic of the Marketplace: The True History of a False Idea”, observe that it will take much more than private marketplace investment to ward off the coming crisis. It will take much, much more. This is much more than a crisis of an individual, or indeed a company or even and industry. It is a crisis that impacts all of us. Therefore, it will take all of us, in the form of public—that is, governmental—intervention.

None of major technological transformations of the 19th and 20th centuries were the product of the private sector acting alone and responding only to the market. Railroads, radio, telegraph, telephone, electricity and the internet were all the result of public-private partnerships. None was delivered by the 'invisible hand' of the marketplace. All involved significant interventions by the visible hand of government.” (1)

I am currently wrapping up a trip to New York to visit my son. Along the way are many reminders of the investments our ancestors made in infrastructure. From the old Erie Canal to the railroads and the interstate highway system—all state and federally funded initiatives that brought not only the expansion of the nation into the interior of the continent but helped bind a nation together as well as help make it prosper. Yes, one can add the Canal systems of the early 19th century as well as the interstate highway system of the last to this prodigious list of public investments.

Demand for new technologies is rarely entirely spontaneous”, observe Oreskes and Conway. “But it's not so. The historian Richard White at Stanford has shown that railroads offered almost no immediate benefit to anyone except the railroad barons, because they were built far ahead of demand, and often into places where white settlers had no interest in going. When radio was invented, no one could figure out why any ordinary person would buy one, so programming had to be created, which meant sponsors had to be found, which in turn contributed to the rise of modern mass media advertising.

What makes large-scale technological change challenging is the integration of all those parts. Electricity wasn't just a matter of turbines, or even turbines, power lines and transformers. Financing and regulation were also required. After electricity was introduced to the urban marketplace, the biggest obstacle to its expanded use was profitability. The private sector was able to make money bringing electricity to densely populated cities like New York, St. Louis and Chicago, but it took federal intervention, under the 1936 Rural Electrification Act, to bring it to rural communities” (2).

The authors duly note the progress being made by state and regional initiatives, pointing to the Northeast States' Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative which has cut greenhouse gas by 39 percent since 1999, and California's progress on electrical generation from renewable sources from 11 to 30 percent. But this is not enough.

What is clear is that the current order will have to undergo universal transformation...the report calling for elimination of the use of fossil fuels by mid-century.

This will require that the entire population is enlisted in the effort, as the country was enlisted in recycling rubber and metals during World War II, and as the entire country made the commitment that everyone would have access to electrical power and the technologies that accompanied it.

Science and technology are not enough. Private investment and the marketplace are not enough. It will take all of us acting politically to make the changes that will transform the basis of our economies and the way we relate to mother nature. These problems cannot be solved individually or serially, but must be addressed as a totality, as a universality. The Greeks, who gave us Democracy, understood this. The polis—from which we get our word politics—was all-encompassing. For the Greeks the polis—the community, the political unit—was the universe. All else was a mere subset of this universe. Politics, and public office, were of the highest calling; for the public's business trumped mere private concerns. Our forefathers understood this. John Adams wrote into the constitution of the State of Massachusetts the charge that the people must support universities and education; Lincoln funded the transcontinental railroad; FDR built the TVA, the Hoover Dam, and brought electricity to nearly every American; Eisenhower built the interstate highway system, and Al Gore pushed the legislation that made the internet and iPhone possible.

Many fortunes and financial empires were built upon these investments. Retail legends Sears and Montgomery Ward, for instance, were built using these railroads and the U.S. Postal system.

The conservatives of this country have made a pig's breakfast of governance. By discrediting government they are cutting the lifeline, perhaps the only lifeline, left to this society—indeed left to humanity to save us from impending doom. Our ancestors didn't leave the important work of the republic entirely in the hands of privateers. They were never such fools.

An Br'er Putin, he jus' laugh and laugh”

Impeach and Imprison.

_________________

  1. Oreskes, Naomi., and Conway, Erik M., “Science Isn't Enough to Save Us” The New York Times. Wednesday, October 17, 2018. Page A25
  2. Ibid.

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