Oct 15, 2018

October 14, 2018: Draconian Measures, Dire Straits, A Rough Ride



It is not wise to piss off mother nature”

                                          ----from “The Quotations of Chairman Joe”

Nearly a half-century ago I read the report of the Club of Rome published in book form under the title World Dynamics. It was the first attempt by a group of world-renowned scientists at creating computer models that would predict—as best we could at the time—the impact of world population on resource depletion, energy use and heat generation, food and water supply, and pollution. All the indicators pointed to disaster by the end of this century unless draconian measures were undertaken. This was before the discovery of the effect of greenhouse gasses and measurable global warming. The models have since been refined to include numerous so-called 'negative feed-back loops'. For instance, decline in the growth of populations has heretofore been the result of rising standards of living because one does not need children for support in old age, and children have been supplanted as needed labor by machines. This has resulted in a trade-off of lower population projections at a cost of higher energy consumption and pollution. Similarly, the melting of the polar ice caps means not only that less sunlight is reflected back into space and that the poles are warming at a faster rate than the rest of the planet, but that the melting of the permafrost releases trapped methane into the air—a greenhouse gas more toxic than carbon dioxide. The same is true as warming oceans release more trapped methane.

The problem facing humanity isn't simply global warming. If one could solve that problem with a wave of one's hand, we would still be in dire straits. We would still be faced with the daunting challenges of population explosion, resource depletion, pollution, food and water shortage and all their various ramifications.

The response, it occurred to me, given the unholy alliance with the Liberal Democratic order and Capitalism, as well as the uncritical adoption by the Marxists and the left of the industrial revolution, will be wholly inadequate. Indeed, given that the entire political spectrum rests upon the assumption that the exploitation of nature is a positive good, civilization as we know it is poised to be blind-sided by a revolt that we are—institutionally and politically, unprepared.

It isn't simply that governance is reactive or reactionary, it's that politically, one cannot disprove a negative. It isn't simply that by the time a palpable majority recognizes that the problems are serious if not dire, it may well prove too late; it is that even if we assume the best case scenario and we move to quickly address these problems, as the crisis is avoided we will constantly find ourselves wrestling with the reactionary forces saying—as the Rescumlickan Party says today—that the problem doesn't exist. Indeed, it never existed and was all the time simply a 'hoax' perpetrated by some international conspiracy designed to oppress. What crisis? It never happened. That it didn't happen because we had taken these draconian steps would be lost on the billions who were asked to sacrifice and the resentments would become manifest.

A milder version of this scenario occurred in the wake of the Dust Bowl. Modern farming techniques had stripped the prairie of its cover exposing the land. The drought of the 1930's created huge dust storms laying waste much of the bread-basket of America making farmers destitute as mother nature laid waste the land. The federal government stepped in, planting trees, creating wind breaks, buying up bankrupt farms and turning the land into federal reserves, taking millions of acres out of production, holding classes to teach farmers more intelligent use of the land. So desperate were the farmers that they, albeit grudgingly, submitted to instruction. These actions took hold and the crisis passed—the first large-scale man-made ecological disaster in the history of the country.

Then, when prosperity changed, farmers went back to their old ways. Larger tractors, for instance, made contour farming impossible. Soon, by the early 50's the dust returned—not quite the disaster of two decades earlier because some of the practices were still in use and much of the federal lands were still managed by the government. But this experience is instructive because it informs us of what will happen even under the best of circumstance. This struggle will be a hard one. It will also be a long one for it demands a new revolution.

A revolution in our politics. Political institutions must somehow have to become pro-active rather than re-active. It also means that much of what needs to be done must be top-down because it involves not only the redirection of major industry but multinational organization. These are problems that transcend the ability of one nation to solve, much the same as pollution of Lake Michigan involves the cooperation of several municipalities and states as well as the federal government. Chicago alone, cannot insure the drinking water.

A revolution in economics. Marx is wrong: the internal contradiction of industrial and post-industrial society is not between capital and labor; it is between the industrial order and the environment. Mother nature is the antithesis to the industrial thesis be it communist, socialist or capitalist industrial production. A new economics based not upon growth but upon homeostasis is imperative. This demands, politically, a more equitable distribution of intentionally—that is, politically determined-- limited resources. It demands a rationing of resources. Here, adopting Marx's categories of “market value” vs. “use value” in determining production would be helpful. Simply because something has 'market value', would not be enough to warrant production. It would also have to have beneficial 'use value'. Under this criteria, a regime would need to be established to pass judgment on a product to license its production. Under this criteria, for instance, the snowmobile for large scale, and guns for universal use would be banned.

A revolution in our religion. We need a new religion. And the sooner the better. A religion that adopts the universal observation that we as a species are a subset of the natural order. We do not control mother nature, she controls us. A religion that does not stand on its head but instead puts its feet firmly back upon the ground. A religion that does not give humanity dominion; a religion in which there is no sky-god and does not confuse god with man. A religion that instead teaches that we have arisen and are one with the earth.

Only then will we have made the first step toward honesty with ourselves; and only by being honest with ourselves can we develop a true respect for—based upon a true understanding of—our place we call home.

It's a tall order and its going to be a rough ride.

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